2002-03 Final Budget Outcome
September 30, 2003Working Party to Examine Criminal Sanctions for Cartel Behaviour
October 3, 2003TRANSCRIPT
THE HON PETER COSTELLO MP
Treasurer
Interview with Maxine McKew
7.30 Report
Wednesday, 30 September 2003
SUBJECTS: Final Budget Outcome, Tax Cuts, GST, Health Spending
MCKEW:
Treasurer, not a bad pre-election position to be in with these figures.
TREASURER:
Well, the Budget came out in surplus, and that is really a story about
what happened in the year ended 30 June, we’ve moved into another financial
year, we hope to keep the budget in surplus, we have heavy defence commitments
and heavy drought assistance commitments, but we are one of the few countries
in the world that is in surplus and keeping the Australian Budget strong
has been a big part of keeping our economy out of recession.
MCKEW:
So what do we do with that surplus? When do our pockets start to feel
heavier with the tax cut you are going to give us?
TREASURER:
Well, we cut taxes on 1 July of course and we are now 3 months into the
financial year and that tax cut is overall about $2.1 billion, that is
in the current financial year…
MCKEW:
But that is the sandwich and milkshake tax cut of $4, isn’t it?
TREASURER:
…well, it is $2 billion. To give you an idea of the numbers involved,
if you cut annual taxes for average wage earners by $200, which we did,
all up, that is about a $2 billion tax cut, which has come into effect
on 1 July.
MCKEW:
Sure, but as it turns out you could have been more generous, I mean you
underestimated receipts by $3.6 billion, why was that?
TREASURER:
Well, company profits were stronger in the year ended 30 June than we
forecast. It has been a very profitable time for Australia’s companies,
the company tax rate at 30 per cent as a consequence has delivered more
revenue, that is one of the reasons why we have been able to cut income
taxes – strong companies, strong growth – and as a result we have been
able to fund all of our commitments, which included the war in Iraq,
drought, the difficulties in relation to SARS, and still come out in
front, which is a pretty good result.
MCKEW:
Treasurer, how much of that higher revenue would you think is repeatable,
by the way?
TREASURER:
Well, this is the forecasting business Maxine, that was the outcome for
the last financial year, finishing on 30 June. We now have to make an
estimate, don’t we, as to what company profits will be in the current
year, up until 30 June 2004. This is the forecasting business. If we
can keep our economy strong, those profits should maintain, but we have
got a very difficult international situation, the drought is not yet
over, and all of that will have to be factored in to the estimates that
we make.
MCKEW:
Even so, what about the tax cuts?
TREASURER:
Well, we have cut taxes this financial year…
MCKEW:
I know…
TREASURER:
…if you let me go on…
MCKEW:
…but what about looking ahead to next year?
TREASURER:
…well let me go on. This is the principle that we laid down in this
year’s budget: if we can fund our decent expenditures, if we can maintain
our troops in the field with the support that they require and our domestic
security and balance our budget, then we should return to the taxpayer,
by way of cutting taxes. That’s what we did this year, that principle
will be good for any future years, if we happen to get into that situation.
MCKEW:
You say we should do it, will you do it?
TREASURER:
Well, if we can maintain our troops in the field, if we can have just
expenditures in the health area, if we can overcome the international
downturn and SARS, and fund a drought, and keep our budget in balance,
if we had some money over at the end of that, my preference is always
for reducing taxes. Bear this in mind too, we are also going to continue
with our overall tax reforms and the next tax to be abolished is the
bank account debits tax.
MCKEW:
What about the taxes that have been piling up though? I mean the Opposition
says since 1996 the average family has paid $8,000 more in federal taxes.
The GST, bracket creep, the sugar tax, the dairy tax, you could go on
with all the specific levies, it is not bad from a reforming taxation
government.
TREASURER:
Well, we have done the greatest tax reform in Australian history. And
incidently Maxine, we…
MCKEW:
And you have got the revenues to prove it.
TREASURER:
…we were fought every step of the way, every single step of the way,
weren’t we? And what has the Labor Party now done Maxine? Came out a
week ago and it said it now supports GST.
After all of that effort, after everything we went through, two elections
in this country, after the blockages in the Senate, guess what? Labor
supports the GST. The only thing I say about Labor’s economic policy
is this Maxine, we had the decency to argue it and to put it into practice,
they opposed it all the way, and now they want to take the benefit of
it…
MCKEW:
Treasurer…
TREASURER:
…I tell you this we will continue, we will continue reforming Australia,
because we want to lead.
MCKEW:
OK, Treasurer, there is a Newspoll today though that shows Labor and
the Coalition level pegging on the two party preferred vote, you don’t
think that might be because some Australians are feeling that they have
got the blunt end of the stick. They have got a GST, as they see it,
minimal tax reform, and declining services.
TREASURER:
No I don’t think that is the case Maxine. The reality is this, let me
go through it. All GST revenue is received by State Governments. Can
I just make this point? Not $1 of that is received by the Commonwealth,
that is spent by the Victorian, the New South Wales, the Queensland,
the South Australian, West Australian, Tasmanian, Northern Territory
and ACT Governments, right? All of it, every single last dollar to provide
their services. What the Commonwealth has done after introducing that
system, is it has actually reduced its income taxes, a strong economy
has delivered strong revenues, if we can have decent services and balance
our budget, then of course we want to keep on reforming Australia’s taxation
system.
MCKEW:
Treasurer, of course the other part of the argument will be, apart from
those who will say, yes we should have the tax relief via another tax
cut, there will be those who will say of course in the run up the next
election that the surplus should be directed towards significant national
investment. And one would have to say you could do a lot to support our
universities and our public hospitals with that extra $3.6 billion.
TREASURER:
Well we have just negotiated a new public hospital agreement which is
increasing spending by 17 per cent.
MCKEW:
Which doesn’t satisfy one single State Premier.
TREASURER:
I have never come across a State Premier in the history of Federation
that didn’t want more money.
Now, every one of those State Premiers now has total GST revenue, and
a 17 per cent increase in health expenditure. It is our job to fund decent
social services, to balance our budget, and to keep Australia strong
and I am absolutely focused on that.
MCKEW:
But Treasurer, are you convinced that average families feel that services
are being properly funded. Don’t you think many of them feel they are
paying higher education bills and higher doctor bills?
TREASURER:
Well Maxine, you know, you have just had a number of questions insinuating
that taxes should be lower and now a number of question insinuating that
expenditure should be higher.
MCKEW:
Well I am saying…
TREASURER:
You can’t have both.
MCKEW:
…no I am saying this…
TREASURER:
No you can’t have both Maxine.
MCKEW:
…is going to be contestable. This is the contestable ground…
TREASURER:
Well…
MCKEW:
…people feel they are not getting tax relief but they look at their
expenditure side and they are paying more in bills.
TREASURER:
And what is the question?
MCKEW:
Well the question is, do you understand the predicament of average families?
TREASURER:
Absolutely.
MCKEW:
You’re saying that the States are getting all this revenue, families
are looking at their household expenditure, and what they pay to you
in revenue, and don’t feel they are getting much back.
TREASURER:
Well the answer to your question is absolutely, and I make this point,
we think it is important to fund decent social services. We have had
an increase in funding for health, we will maintain our troops in the
field, whether they have been in Iraq or are still in East Timor or the
Solomon Islands, we will balance our budget, and if at the end of the
day, we can reduce taxes as well, we will, but we will only be able to
do it if we can keep the Australian economy strong.
MCKEW:
Just finally Treasurer, the last time you spent down the surplus, that
was the run up to the 2001 election, plenty of constituent groups were
bought off there, but did that contribute to sustainable national wellbeing?
TREASURER:
Well Maxine, the Australian economy grew in the last financial year,
it grew whilst the American economy went into recession, Japan was in
recession, most of Europe was in recession, look up at Singapore or Hong
Kong, these are economies that are contracting, the Australian economy
continues to grow. It doesn’t happen by accident, it is not a fluke,
it takes a lot of management. And the fact that we can continue to grow
means that we can have decent services, and if we can balance our budget,
lower taxes.
MCKEW:
Treasurer for that, thank you.
TREASURER:
Thank you very much.