Housing Affordability; Stamp Duty; GST; First Home Owners’ Scheme – Interview with Derryn Hinch, 3AW
August 4, 2003Address to Centre for Independent Studies Consilium Conference
August 7, 2003
TRANSCRIPT
THE HON PETER COSTELLO MP
Treasurer
Interview with Ray Hadley, 2GB
Tuesday, 5 August 2003
9.20 am
SUBJECTS: Leadership, First Home Buyers, Housing Prices, gay marriages,
teenage children, gambling
HADLEY:
Mr Costello good morning.
TREASURER:
Great to be with you, thank Ray.
HADLEY:
A much more sociable environment than the one that we previously occupied
for your visit.
TREASURER:
It’s much better, I must say. Come up in the world a bit, it must be
all those successful radio commentators, Ray.
HADLEY:
Something like that, or Singo’s got too much money and wants to spoil
us. Something like that. Would it be fair to say, in light of the decision
of the Prime Minister to bat on for a little bit longer, that you have
had to re-assess your goals, and re-assess where you are headed beyond
2003, 4 and 5?
TREASURER:
Well obviously it is important now that we get on with the job and there
was a lot of speculation as you can imagine leading up to that. He has
made his decision and that having been made, we have got to make sure
that we get on with the job of governing the country, and governing it
well.
HADLEY:
It must be difficult but, if you’re viewed by everyone, and I am not
talking about you, but everyone else including, I guess the electorate,
as the heir apparent to either lead the Government, or lead the Opposition,
depending on what happens at the next election, to try and put those
personal disappointments aside, and obviously you have had trouble accommodating
that but, you seem to have come to terms with it now, would that be fair?
TREASURER:
Well, people have always got expectations and want to know what you are
going to do next, but I think it is important to concentrate on the job
you are doing. And people say, well you have been doing that for 7 ½
years, and that is true, but it has been a very difficult time Ray, and
gee, there are a lot of challenges in the economy, and the world economy,
and making sure that we keep people in work, and working at keeping taxes
down. And that is a pretty full-time occupation and that is what I am
focusing on.
HADLEY:
Historically people go from being the Treasurer to being the Leader,
but it doesn’t seem to go hand in hand, and would it also be fair to
say that in more recent times, you are trying to overcome the fact that
people view you as being a bit of a bogey man, that you are out there,
that you are the wicked fellow that does all these things to us, but
you are trying to portray that there is another side to me, that I am
not all bad news and doom and gloom about Treasury and about what happens
to the Budget.
TREASURER:
Well I think that is true. The Treasurer’s job is the second most difficult
job in a government after the Prime Minister’s job, and because you are
the person that is responsible for the finances, you often have to deliver
the unpleasant news which is, no we can’t afford to spend more money,
no we can’t afford to engage in new programs for other Ministers, and
you do tend to become the tough guy in the Government, if you are doing
your job properly. We have had Treasurer’s that didn’t do their job properly
and their whole economy paid for it. But if you are doing your job properly,
you do tend to become the tough guy and the, one of the advantages that
other Ministers have is they get to announce the good news, you get to
announce the cost of the good news. So, that is difficult but, when you
get the chance, and I do from time to time, to talk about other non-economic
issues, actually I find it very stimulating. People actually write to
me and say, gee we never knew you had views on social fabric of society,
which I have been talking about a lot recently, or how to strengthen
families, and it does come as a breath of fresh air when you actually
talk about it.
HADLEY:
It is a bit hard perhaps, when people view you as being one-dimensional.
That can happen to a lot of people in a lot of areas because they think
that is the little pigeonhole that he fits in to, and doesn’t do much
else about.
TREASURER:
I think that is right. You don’t often get the opportunity to talk about
wider issues, because this is just a full-time hands on job, and you
are doing budgets, and interest rates, and taxes…
HADLEY:
Real exciting stuff.
TREASURER:
…well, you know, necessary but, the truth of the matter is this Ray.
If something goes wrong in the economy, if interest rates were to go
back to 17 percent, where they were, as you remember under Labor…
HADLEY:
Yes, I bought my first house at that particular time.
TREASURER:
…17 percent, you know, or if we were to go into a recession and unemployment
would jump to 11 percent, then people would be screaming the place down
and millions would be thrown out of work. And so it doesn’t sound interesting,
running Budgets and taxes and the economy and all the rest of it, but
at the end of the day what it does is it keeps people in work and allows
them to have homes, and it pays for the education of their kids, and
all of the things that they think are really important, and they are
really important.
HADLEY:
Well let’s talk about some of those other issues. Homes. You live in
Melbourne, obviously we live in Sydney, and it is particularly difficult
for first homebuyers to get into the market. Mr Howard made the point
with my colleague Alan Jones yesterday morning, that those of us that
have homes aren’t whinging about the escalation prices, but those trying
to get into the market. What about other capital cities, your hometown,
is it as difficult for first homebuyers in Melbourne as it is in Sydney?
TREASURER:
Oh Sydney is the most expensive town in Australia, there is no doubt
about that. And the median price, that is the average price you pay for
a home in Sydney is…
HADLEY:
$460,000.
TREASURER:
…$460,000.
HADLEY:
It buys you a lot in Melbourne or Brisbane.
TREASURER:
It would buy you more in Melbourne, it will buy you more again in Brisbane,
it would buy you a pretty good house in Hobart, if you were living in
a country town, $460,000 would buy you a great house. A fantastic house,
probably on about 5 acres.
HADLEY:
You might be in the middle of a drought and won’t have a job, but at
least you will have a nice house.
TREASURER:
…so Sydney is the most expensive town in Australia, there is no doubt
about that. That is fine if you’re in the market, as John Howard said
yesterday, and I have been saying all week, our plan is not to bring
down the value of people’s homes. People who have actually invested a
lot of money, don’t want the value of their investment to fall. I want
to be very clear about that. But, for those that are trying to get into
the market for the first time, that first home is the hard one. Once
you have got a home, as you know Ray, the price tends to go up, you make
a little bit of a gain when you sell it and you buy your next one. For
most of us, I’m sure you’re the case we started off with pretty cheap
home, but we have, over the course of our lifetimes, been able to trade
up. So it is just a question of the first homeowner getting that first
homeowner into the first property and that is the question that we are
going to look at. I have called an inquiry into that to see what can
be done. A lot of ideas are now coming forward. For example the release
of more land, looking at some of the costs in relation to stamp duty,
and we will have an inquiry, it will be an open inquiry and we will look
at the results as they come back.
HADLEY:
It’s all pretty pointless, the finger pointing from the State Government
and the finger pointing from the Federal Government, saying well you
charge GST on new homes and you charge stamp duty on new and pre-owned
homes. I mean at the end of the day, if the interest rates, and we will
have an announcement on that shortly, stay at the affordable level they’re
at at the moment, we’re going to have a problem because while it’s $467,000
the median price in Sydney, it means that it is far more affordable at
six and a half percent than it would be at twelve and a half percent.
TREASURER:
Oh, absolutely. This is the other point that I keep on making. The fact
that interest rates are now at thirty-year lows, means that people have
been able to afford better houses. And that is one of the reasons why
prices have gone up, absolutely. Ray, you could bring houses down tomorrow,
if you wanted to go back to a 17 per cent interest rate. That is what
Keating and Hawke did back in the late 1980’s early 1990’s, but that
is not the plan here. The plan here, is, not to put up interest rates
and bring on a recession. The plan is to ensure that interest rates remain
low, so that people can afford good housing. It is this question of getting
the first, first stake in the market. I just want to make one point about
GST because you raised it then. We have done the figures these will come
out in the Productivity Commission inquiry, 85 per cent of first home
buyers buy established homes on which there is no GST. So it is an absolute
furphy to say this is somehow related to GST. Eighty five per cent of
first homeowners buy established homes. It might be a flat, it might
be a unit. There is no GST on established homes.
HADLEY:
And so their second home would be affected by GST but that comes when
they are in a much more stronger position
TREASURER:
If you buy a new home, a newly constructed home, the GST will go into
the construction cost. But, as you know yourself, your first homebuyer,
your young couple don’t tend to go and buy a brand new home. In fact
only 15 per cent do that. What they tend to do is buy a flat or a unit
and get their place in market. So this is not GST question. There are
a lot factors that I said that are impacting. I have made the point,
I do believe that as prices have gone up the stamp duty rates have remained
unchanged and that has worked against first homebuyers
HADLEY:
Mr Howard has today ruled out supporting gay marriages, I note off the
website, because they’re now incompatible with an institution
designed to ensure the survival of the species. Where do you stand on
so called gay marriages
TREASURER:
Our view is that marriage is a partnership between a man and woman and
that is the definition we’ve got in legislation. I think that has always
been the understanding of marriage. The legal definition of marriage
and the legal institution of marriage, and obviously people have relationships,
and they might be long term relationships between people of the same
sex, but to have a marriage, it has to be people of the opposite sex.
HADLEY:
That is the legal definition. What does Peter Costello personally think
of it
TREASURER:
I think that’s the right legal definition, but as I said earlier, obviously
I understand and accept that there are many people of the same sex who
have a relationship and a partnership, and sometimes a long term partnership.
I understand that and I respect that.
HADLEY:
Do your views change as you get older. Do you find that the things that
you held near and dear at twenty one and twenty two disappear as you…
TREASURER:
Look I think over the course of your life you do change a lot…
HADLEY:
Do you think that you get softer or tougher?
TREASURER:
Um, probably softer.
HADLEY:
Is that because of wife and family or other influences?
TREASURER:
Yes, in my experience as you go through life, and you see different things,
you get more understanding and more accepting. That has been my experience
anyway, particularly and as you go through life and you have teenage
kids, you have to get more understanding and more accepting. Whether
you like it or whether you don’t, that’s has also been my experience.
HADLEY:
I’m just getting into phase myself.
TREASURER:
Are you?
HADLEY:
I know why you’re laughing.
TREASURER:
Yes, well prepare yourself for it. Believe me nothing prepares you for
it until you have been through it. I think a lot of parents will say
that…
HADLEY:
It’s funny how people will say to you when you’ve got children, and I’ve
got three younger than teenage and one into the teenage years and said
to me “Oh look you don’t know what’s going to happen, these three
girls of yours are going to get up there and then all of a sudden you
think, no, I’m doing exactly what I should be doing as a parent, and
all of a sudden you say to wife, gee, things are going tremendously well
and then yesterday something happens you think, well maybe I’m not quite
at adept to all this as I thought I was 48 hours ago.
TREASURER:
Well I once heard a definition that said a conservative is a person who
used to be a liberal but who now has a teenage daughter…
HADLEY:
(laughing) It’s probably…
TREASURER:
…nothing will prepare you for it Ray, so get ready. You have the people
who say when they’re young, they’re a handful but in my experience they
can more difficult when they’re older.
HADLEY:
We are all influenced by our friends and our family and we discussed
wives and children but what about siblings? Your brother’s a high profile
man who has views and particularly set views in some areas which many
people support and others don’t. Do you converse with Tim regularly…
TREASURER:
Oh sure and on some things we agree, and on some things we don’t…
HADLEY:
You would be disappointed if you agreed on things surely because that
is the nature of life, is it not?
TREASURER:
Oh look, in families you know people have different views, and I think
that is probably the strength of families. That’s what makes individuals.
Some things we, for example, he’s been campaigning against gaming, poker
machines. I agree with him on that. I think there a far too many of them
and in fact we called a big federal inquiry into the issue and put it
squarely on the political agenda. There are other things that I wouldn’t
agree with him on. And he has criticised me from time to time, that’s
fair enough. I’ve got broad shoulders.
HAELEY:
In relation to poker machines and gambling generally. Poker machines
particularly, we can take the blame for that here in New South Wales,
we started it all. And I think it is now a crutch that the Carr Government
relies for revenue upon and all of a sudden there is no where else to
go, because if the gaming machines disappear, and as they put restrictions
on them, so when they put the restrictions on and no more machines now
they’re attempting to double the tax on the clubs because there is no
money coming in and no continued income stream because instead of getting
thirty poker machines in a pub now the prospect was maybe 40 or 45, but
they’ve capped it. Which is I guess admirable. What it means is just
the taxes go on, and they’ve got to pay for the hospitals and the schools
and roads
TREASURER:
Well, this the problem when a Government gets dependent on it, you see,
what the Productivity Commission Report showed, is a very high proportion
of the revenue that comes through pokies actually comes from problem
gamblers. And so whilst Governments will say, oh, we don’t want to encourage
problem gambling, the truth of the matter is, if you wiped out all problem
gambling then the revenues would significantly deteriorate as would the
tax takes. So, a Government has this conflict of interest, in its better
moments it is saying to itself, we should try and prevent problem gaming
or problem gambling, from developing. On the other hand, it is saying
but we want to keep our revenues up. So this is one of the difficult
situations Governments get themselves into. They become too reliant on
these activities.
HADLEY:
And of course they have available all these gaming machines, phone the
G line. By the time the poor bugger has finished they don’t have the
money to phone the G line anyway.
TREASURER:
Well, that’s right and the thing, look if there are people that put money
in a poker machine and they can walk away, okay fair enough, it is their
money. But we do know, that there are people that can’t walk away and
we do know in relation to poker machines, that is quite a significant
part of the revenue and these are the people that shouldn’t be there
that need help not to be there, to be able to walk away. And yet if all
of them did, then the revenues and the tax take would be down significantly.
HADLEY:
Okay, we are getting half way or beyond half way through 2003. You appear
to be at peace with decisions taken by people that you are affected by.
What is the time frame for the next step for Peter Costello. Have you
had dialogue with the Prime Minister about that?
TREASURER:
Well, obviously I have spoken to him about the party, and about the future,
and you know I have been the deputy leader and he is the leader and we
do talk about it. I think it is our responsibility to make sure that
the party is put in the best state possible to form Government and to
run the country.
HADLEY:
Is he reluctant to talk about it or do you go to him and say “John,
in (inaudible)…you can’t go on forever, you can’t be when you’re seventy.”
TREASURER:
Well, we have had various discussions, I’m not going to go into detail
obviously, but we’ve had various discussions…
HADLEY:
He’s not going to be here till he’s seventy
TREASURER:
I’m not going into anything like that, Ray, because you know, these things
tend to get magnified, but obviously we’ve had some discussions and I
think both of us want to do what’s in the interests of the party and
the Government and the country.
HADLEY:
Right, I don’t know how you will take this but in a perverse sort of
way, I think he’s actually done you a favour, because if we look at Peter
Costello twelve months ago, I mean we haven’t seen the other side and
how he feels about all those other issues. Because there is an interim
period and he continues on, I think it gives you an opportunity to explain
to the electorate about the fact that you are more than one dimensional,
that you do care about other issues and you’re not just some bloke in
the back of Parliament in some room looking at figures and deciding whether
we can take it from here and put it there and all the rest of it. And
then people know that you care about all sorts of other issues. And so
to a certain extent, I think inadvertently, he has done you a favour.
TREASURER:
Well, as you say Ray…
HADLEY:
You always look on the positive side. I’m trying to find inaudible
TREASURER:
You’re really heartening me there, Ray.
HADLEY:
I can see the enthusiasm oozing from every pore.
TREASURER:
No, look it is a fair point, and you have got to look at things from
different perspectives. I think that is quite right.
HADLEY:
All right, you have got other things to do I appreciate you coming in
to say g’day this morning. We hope to see you again in the near future
TREASURER:
Thanks very much for your time Ray.